Floradude Posted July 2, 2023 Report Share Posted July 2, 2023 Around 7:45 am, while having breakfast on the terrace I heard a loud thunder blast coming from the Chapala area. Sending a Whatsap to a friend in Chapala he confirmed it was raining. Does not look like it will make it to Ajijic anytime soon. No, the rainy season has not started. From what remember reading we have to have three consecutive days of rain for it to be a start to the rainy season. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floradude Posted July 2, 2023 Author Report Share Posted July 2, 2023 Raining lightly Upper Ajijic...9:08 am Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natasha Posted July 2, 2023 Report Share Posted July 2, 2023 No rain Villa Nova.... and none since the (first) big one the other day ☹️ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
artsnob Posted July 2, 2023 Report Share Posted July 2, 2023 It rained medium in Ajijic centro at 9 am...it looks and feels like we might get some more soon... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmh Posted July 2, 2023 Report Share Posted July 2, 2023 Ajjic is not the center of the universe and whether it rains here or not it is irrelevant . The weather has changed we have humidity in the air and clouds and it rains here and there the rainy season has started and we will get rain in due time . There are clouds so it is not the same in the whole area but all you have todo is step outside and feel the air and know it is the rainy season..no more pure blue sky..and rain here and there. We will eventually get more rain, it is just the beginning, 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted July 2, 2023 Report Share Posted July 2, 2023 1 hour ago, bmh said: Ajjic is not the center of the universe and whether it rains here or not it is irrelevant . The weather has changed we have humidity in the air and clouds and it rains here and there the rainy season has started and we will get rain in due time . There are clouds so it is not the same in the whole area but all you have todo is step outside and feel the air and know it is the rainy season..no more pure blue sky..and rain here and there. We will eventually get more rain, it is just the beginning, The rainy season is off to a very bad start in most of Mexico. Our Oaxaca family reports it only showed up weeks late, like here, and is weak, like here. It most certainly is relevant that it is not raining here as well. Yes we have high humidity and humidity clouds but there is still very little room because the tropical waves that mobilize this into rainfall are passing far to the south of us instead of over us. The monsoon trough is abnormally displaced to the south with the result most of our rain is falling on the ocean as the tropical waves are passing through there instead of mostly over land by now. Because the tropical waves are passing over the ocean instead of land they are setting off an unusual number of tropical storms for this early in the season. High pressure out of its normal position further north has a lot to do with this. See images below. The lake has now fallen to half full and still falling because it is not raining on the lake's watershed either. By now it would have normally stopped falling and maybe begun to rise slowly. GDL still gets over 60 percent of its water from this lake so this situation has very serious implications for them as well. Unless something happens to change this adverse pattern this could be one of the lowest rainy seasons in several decades and we had better prepare ourselves for seeing the lakeshore recede far from its current level. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACD Posted July 3, 2023 Report Share Posted July 3, 2023 ... cats and dogs for an hour here in Guanajuato. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stream Posted July 3, 2023 Report Share Posted July 3, 2023 10 hours ago, Floradude said: Around 7:45 am, while having breakfast on the terrace I heard a loud thunder blast coming from the Chapala area. Sending a Whatsap to a friend in Chapala he confirmed it was raining. Does not look like it will make it to Ajijic anytime soon. No, the rainy season has not started. From what remember reading we have to have three consecutive days of rain for it to be a start to the rainy season. 3 days of rain so keee rain dancing 😊 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACD Posted July 4, 2023 Report Share Posted July 4, 2023 On 7/2/2023 at 8:01 PM, ACD said: ... cats and dogs for an hour here in Guanajuato. ... about to get more. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdmowers Posted August 2, 2023 Report Share Posted August 2, 2023 On 7/2/2023 at 1:20 PM, Mainecoons said: The rainy season is off to a very bad start in most of Mexico. Our Oaxaca family reports it only showed up weeks late, like here, and is weak, like here. It most certainly is relevant that it is not raining here as well. Yes we have high humidity and humidity clouds but there is still very little room because the tropical waves that mobilize this into rainfall are passing far to the south of us instead of over us. The monsoon trough is abnormally displaced to the south with the result most of our rain is falling on the ocean as the tropical waves are passing through there instead of mostly over land by now. Because the tropical waves are passing over the ocean instead of land they are setting off an unusual number of tropical storms for this early in the season. High pressure out of its normal position further north has a lot to do with this. See images below. The lake has now fallen to half full and still falling because it is not raining on the lake's watershed either. By now it would have normally stopped falling and maybe begun to rise slowly. GDL still gets over 60 percent of its water from this lake so this situation has very serious implications for them as well. Unless something happens to change this adverse pattern this could be one of the lowest rainy seasons in several decades and we had better prepare ourselves for seeing the lakeshore recede far from its current level. Very interesting, Mainecoons. Thank you for this information. Any window into the rest of the summer as to how whether this pattern will continue? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickS Posted August 3, 2023 Report Share Posted August 3, 2023 Not unless he is Tlaloc in disguise... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ibarra Posted August 3, 2023 Report Share Posted August 3, 2023 El Niño - https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/tropical-weather-forecast-cone-us Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdmowers Posted August 3, 2023 Report Share Posted August 3, 2023 7 hours ago, RickS said: Not unless he is Tlaloc in disguise... Well he sure as heck knows more than I do! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickS Posted August 4, 2023 Report Share Posted August 4, 2023 Me too, but I don't think he will be able to predict how the weather patterns will continue. At least not more than a couple of weeks with reliability. But, come to think of it "the rest of the summer' is only a few more weeks. We spent most of the summer waiting for the rainy season to actually start didn't we. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
elevator Posted August 4, 2023 Report Share Posted August 4, 2023 Least amount of rain in my nine years here by far. I remember when we first came down folks talking about how low the lake was several years before. Said one could walk out hundreds of yards. It is what it is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pappysmarket Posted August 5, 2023 Report Share Posted August 5, 2023 21 hours ago, elevator said: Least amount of rain in my nine years here by far. I remember when we first came down folks talking about how low the lake was several years before. Said one could walk out hundreds of yards. It is what it is. Way more than "hundreds of yards". A good mile or more. There were 3 dirt roads leading to various points to the west with one road going all the way to Joco. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickS Posted August 5, 2023 Report Share Posted August 5, 2023 ... and a make-do golf course! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pappysmarket Posted August 5, 2023 Report Share Posted August 5, 2023 49 minutes ago, RickS said: ... and a make-do golf course! Yep, the caddies from Chula Vista constructed, as the water receded, a nine hole "course" that was mainly used by themselves. Cattle and horses grazed far out and the rumor was that the administration in Mexico DF wanted the lake to disappear and for a new airport to be built there. Landowners at the former lake's edge built many improvements that they figured would be permanent including many fences. Everything ended up underwater as the lake rebounded a couple of years later under a deluge of rain that year. Many of those fences are still there and are a threat to navigation. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
elevator Posted August 10, 2023 Report Share Posted August 10, 2023 Wow. Thanks for the replies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natasha Posted August 10, 2023 Report Share Posted August 10, 2023 On 8/5/2023 at 8:17 AM, pappysmarket said: Way more than "hundreds of yards". A good mile or more. And there was a little yellow (normally street) bus that was co-opted to drive boat ride people from end of the pier to where the boats had enough water to float, and then back again! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ibarra Posted August 13, 2023 Report Share Posted August 13, 2023 Not looking good for rainfall totals for 2023: Inches 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 AVG1 Total 9.66 (as of 8/12/2023) 39.64 40.60 31.26 26.68 32.24 30.29 40.03 41.13 31.15 28.52 33.53 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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