Mainecoons Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 Yes folks, once again that great opportunity to portray that wild guess as meteorological genius should your wild guess be the right one. And win the grand prize which is....nothing other than bragging rights. Rainfall is as measured at the weather station in Riberas In order to be deemed a real start, the rain has to fall three times in a week, be clearly generated by the easterlies the shift of which denoted the beginning of our season and have to add up to 3.8 cm (1.5 inches) in the first 7 day week. The date of the first rain in the qualifying trio is the win date. I'l start with my usual, usually futile attempt to pick a date based on observation of tropical and sub tropical jet streams. Reply to this post with your guess and I'll copy it into the list. Note it is OK to pick a date that has already been picked. There is no limit on the number of folks who can be declared meteorological genius here. MostlyLost: June 1 Rony: June 5 Bisbee: June 9 MyHome, Bezerk: June 10 Solajijic: June 11 Mexbound, Tomgates, Irish Gal: June 12 Cedros: June 13 Johansen: June 14 Exyyz: June 15 Mainecoons: June 16 MHopkins: June 17 Hammerhead: June 18 Pappys, bdmowers: June 21 Jabonera: June 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johanson Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 I just posted somewhere here that I bet it will start on the 12h or 13th. Seeing that I get only one day, I guessing by the 14th of June there will enough rain in the rain gauge to reach 1.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rony Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 5th of June Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
solajijic Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 June 11th -12th overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MyHomeSweetHome Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 June 10th ☂️⛈ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pappysmarket Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 Many years it starts late. June 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bisbee Gal Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 June 9th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cedros Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 June 13th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mexbound Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 June 12th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
exyyz Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 June 15th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jabonera Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 A little bird told me it'll be late this year... June 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pappysmarket Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 Somewhere around 2004 it didn't start until the night of June 30-July 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted May 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 Wasn't that during the period of time when the lake dropped very low? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mhopkins2 Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 June 17th, 10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hammerhead Posted May 10, 2017 Report Share Posted May 10, 2017 June 18th 8: 55 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bezerk Posted May 11, 2017 Report Share Posted May 11, 2017 June 10th first rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdmowers Posted May 11, 2017 Report Share Posted May 11, 2017 June 21, exactly 6 weeks, or 42 days, from today when I heard the first rainbird. Well, I actually heard one a few days ago but I dont remember the day, so..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomgates Posted May 11, 2017 Report Share Posted May 11, 2017 June 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
giltner68 Posted May 11, 2017 Report Share Posted May 11, 2017 92 degrees and 28% RH, yep, it's "summer" at Chapala. But, pretty soon it will be lovely and cool while NOB we'll be cooking for another 4 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johanson Posted May 11, 2017 Report Share Posted May 11, 2017 We miss you lakeside Giltner68. Thank you for your great weather webpage www.chapalaweather.net Isn't it about time to come on back home? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted May 11, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2017 29 minutes ago, giltner68 said: 92 degrees and 28% RH, yep, it's "summer" at Chapala. But, pretty soon it will be lovely and cool while NOB we'll be cooking for another 4 months. You could always become a sunbird! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Irish Gal Posted May 12, 2017 Report Share Posted May 12, 2017 June 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mostlylost Posted May 13, 2017 Report Share Posted May 13, 2017 OK Based on the jacarandas blooming 2-3 weeks early and the rainbirds already singing continuously I am going for an early start June 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomgates Posted June 9, 2017 Report Share Posted June 9, 2017 1.38 so far in Riberas. Here are the rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted June 10, 2017 Author Report Share Posted June 10, 2017 22 hours ago, tomgates said: 1.38 so far in Riberas. Here are the rules. Well, it looks like June 7 should be declared the official winner as it was the first of three obviously monsoonal storms that added up to an inch and a half. Since no one picked that actual date, the two closest, Rony and Bisbee, will share the spotlight. I totally bombed on my prediction of a late start. Glad I was wrong. Congratulations to our two near perfect weather prognosticators! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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