cedros Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 11 hours ago, alex45920 said: And there was also this bit of nonsense that denied the validity of tropical (monsoonal) moisture coming from the south. So the storm that's expected here tonight doesn't count either. The rainy season has definitely not started yet. As posted above " in order to be deemed a real start, the rain has to fall three times in a week, be clearly generated by the easterlies the shift of which denoted the beginning of our season and have to add up to 3.8 cm (1.5 inches) in the first 7 day week. We got nowhere near that amount pf rain so far. 1/2 inch of rain last night from the tropical storm off the west coast. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cedros Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 On 6/14/2021 at 6:21 AM, Mainecoons said: Based on pattern shift and repeat rain I'd conclude the season started on June 13. Yay or nay? Nay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cedros Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 On 6/13/2021 at 8:09 PM, virgo lady said: So...."are we there yet"? 😉 No Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted June 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 Get set for some heavy rain today. Very difficult to call the start since the pattern was definitely established in that satellite shot but then it weakened for several days and this tropical storm is definitely not following the usual path of being driven westward by the easterlies at this time of year. I'm sticking with the 13th. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoneyBee Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 5 minutes ago, Mainecoons said: Get set for some heavy rain today. Very difficult to call the start since the pattern was definitely established in that satellite shot but then it weakened for several days and this tropical storm is definitely not following the usual path of being driven westward by the easterlies at this time of year. I'm sticking with the 13th. 13th of July ? (2021). ☺️ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted June 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 And this is a very typical pattern for our rainy season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cedros Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 According to the rules it is too early to say if this is the start of the rainy season. We have to wait until the tropical storm passes then see what happens next. 2 inches so far today here in Joco Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
traderspoc Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 whoever guessed june 19 wins 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted June 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 1 hour ago, traderspoc said: whoever guessed june 19 wins OK! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mostlylost Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 The last date posted was June 14 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happyjillin Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 13th wins because that is the date it happens every year as it did this year too. not 19th but my 78th bd is today and it's a nice rain for our plants one week into the rainy season. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bisbee Gal Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 The Arizona monsoon season start was traditionally determined by a lookback at an AVERAGE dew point of 55 degrees or more for THREE days in a row. I was a "Weather Watcher" for KOLD Channel 13 in Tucson between 2003 and 2014 and the AZ meteorology class I took covered this topic in detail. A number of years ago the NWS threw in the towel trying to explain this "look-back" method as did the TV weather meteorologists. Now in AZ, they just say the monsoon season begins June 15th (though it's been dry as a bone this year since June 15th with record setting high temps). Old timers still follow the 3 day look-back at the dew points and even the local TV meteorologists continue to discuss it. I do not know if that 55+ degree dew point for 3 consecutive days would be accurate here or not. Just thought I'd mention this formerly official NWS method of determining the start of a rainy season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeside7 Posted June 19, 2021 Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 Maybe we should now start "who has most leaks in their roof" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted June 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 19, 2021 1 hour ago, lakeside7 said: Maybe we should now start "who has most leaks in their roof" That could quickly run to many pages. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ferret Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 I've had 3 inches of rain in the last 24 hours at my home in Riberas. No leaks anywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
artsnob Posted June 20, 2021 Report Share Posted June 20, 2021 My yard is flooded in Ajijic centro, and I have five leaks... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mostlylost Posted June 25, 2021 Report Share Posted June 25, 2021 14 minutes ago, Linapolo said: The Informador *Guadalajara paper, says the official start of the rainy season was May 15th La temporada de lluvias y ciclones tropicales 2021 comenzó oficialmente el pasado 15 de mayo y se estima que finalice en noviembre. https://www.informador.mx Guadalajara has a very different climate than the Chapala basin's micro climate caused by the mountains surrounding 80% of the lake and the effect of the lake as a thermal mass. In GDL afternoon downpours are very common, where lakeside more common at night. Temperatures are different as well. All you need to do is watch local news videos of GDL streets flooded, while Chapala has a sunny rainfree day, to see the difference. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bisbee Gal Posted June 25, 2021 Report Share Posted June 25, 2021 That is a reference to the annual Hurricane Season, which have set dates established by the NHC. The dates never vary no matter the arrival of first or last hurricane. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/ Atlantic & Eastern Pacific Climatology The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st to November 30th, and the Eastern Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15th to November 30th. The Atlantic basin includes the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico. The Eastern Pacific basin extends to 140°W. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mostlylost Posted June 25, 2021 Report Share Posted June 25, 2021 6 minutes ago, Linapolo said: If you read it carefully, it says temporada de lluvia, which is season of rains. No.... if you read it carefully it says season of rains and tropical cyclones which ends in November. . That is May 15 every year to November every year regardless of actual rain. It is a set date. Maincoons' contest was based on the actual beginnings of a rainy season in the Chapala area as defined on the first post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happyjillin Posted June 25, 2021 Report Share Posted June 25, 2021 Linapolo has run off of embarrassment,I suspect, for being caught not paying attention. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taaffe Posted June 25, 2021 Report Share Posted June 25, 2021 No, I withdrew my comment when I was corrected, that’s all. Enjoy the cool, wet weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happyjillin Posted June 25, 2021 Report Share Posted June 25, 2021 1 hour ago, Taaffe said: No, I withdrew my comment when I was corrected, that’s all. Enjoy the cool, wet weather. Why do you find it necessary to be linapolo and taafe on here senor troll? Do you have any other anonimouse handles and do you talk to each other-SNORK! pedro kertesz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Linapolo Posted June 25, 2021 Report Share Posted June 25, 2021 1 hour ago, happyjillin said: Why do you find it necessary to be linapolo and taafe on here senor troll? Do you have any other anonimouse handles and do you talk to each other-SNORK! pedro kertesz I forgot my password. Anything else I can answer for you? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cedros Posted June 26, 2021 Report Share Posted June 26, 2021 On 6/19/2021 at 10:33 AM, traderspoc said: whoever guessed june 19 wins I agree Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted June 27, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 27, 2021 On 6/26/2021 at 6:24 AM, cedros said: I agree You get to start the contest next year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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