Mainecoons Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 Yes folks, once again that great opportunity to portray that wild guess as meteorological genius should your wild guess be the right one. And win the grand prize which is....nothing other than bragging rights. Rainfall is as measured somewhere locally. As the Riberas weather station is gone we'll need to figure out a new measurement. Anyone local with a reliable rain gage should suffice. In order to be deemed a real start, the rain has to fall three times in a week, be clearly generated by the easterlies the shift of which denoted the beginning of our season and have to add up to 3.8 cm (1.5 inches) in the first 7 day week. The date of the first rain in the qualifying trio is the winner. I'll start with my usual, usually futile attempt to pick a date based on observation of tropical and sub tropical jet streams. Reply to this post with your guess and I'll copy it into the list. Note it is OK to pick a date that has already been picked. There is no limit on the number of folks who can be declared meteorological genius here. May 31 Rick June 1 Mainecoons June 2 Honeybee June 7 Bisbee June 8 Whipstock June 11 Artsnob June 12 GoSolar, traderspoc June 13 Gringohombre, Cedros (at PM) June 14 Mostly Lost, dichosalocura, FlyFree, gogirl Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whipstock Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 June 8th. 🤞 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bisbee Gal Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 June 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mostlylost Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 June 14 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whipstock Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bisbee Gal said: June 7 Not volunteering you, but as you have a quality rain gauge (and if MC, and others are fine with it); do you mind posting your local results as the Official numbers? PS, You are off by one day.🤣 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gringohombre Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 The first day of the Fiesta Saint Anthony of San Antonio Tlayacapan... Caveat...my bet is off if the Fiesta is cancelled!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dichosalocura Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 Its always the second week of June so I'll go with Mostlylost and pick the 14th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bisbee Gal Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 2 hours ago, Mainecoons said: Rainfall is as measured somewhere locally. As the Riberas weather station is gone we'll need to figure out a new measurement. Anyone local with a reliable rain gage should suffice. 1 hour ago, Whipstock said: Not volunteering you, but as you have a quality rain gauge (and if MC, and others are fine with it); do you mind posting your local results as the Official numbers? I'm confused...what's wrong with using the rain gauge from https://www.ajijicweather.com/index.htm The station is in Rancho de Oro, as far as I know and has been for several years. I'd be happy to post mine, IF we're in Ajijic. We have tentative travel plans in early to mid-June. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlyFree Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 One month from now: June 14. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whipstock Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Bisbee Gal said: I'm confused...what's wrong with using the rain gauge from https://www.ajijicweather.com/index.htm The station is in Rancho de Oro, as far as I know and has been for several years. I'd be happy to post mine, IF we're in Ajijic. We have tentative travel plans in early to mid-June. My apologies, I had been told that that site was no longer being updated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
artsnob Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 June 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted May 15, 2021 Author Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 22 minutes ago, Bisbee Gal said: I'm confused...what's wrong with using the rain gauge from https://www.ajijicweather.com/index.htm The station is in Rancho de Oro, as far as I know and has been for several years. I'd be happy to post mine, IF we're in Ajijic. We have tentative travel plans in early to mid-June. OK, Rancho de Oro will definitely work. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickS Posted May 15, 2021 Report Share Posted May 15, 2021 I'm going with early also..... MAY 31st Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gogirl Posted May 16, 2021 Report Share Posted May 16, 2021 June 14. Only because it's my son's birthday! LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Solar Posted May 16, 2021 Report Share Posted May 16, 2021 June 12 for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Solar Posted May 16, 2021 Report Share Posted May 16, 2021 On 5/15/2021 at 3:43 PM, Mainecoons said: As the Riberas weather station is gone we'll need to figure out a new measurement. Anyone local with a reliable rain gage should suffice. Go with ajijicweather.com site, does a great job IMHO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cedros Posted May 19, 2021 Report Share Posted May 19, 2021 4 hours ago, cedros said: June 13, 11pm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SunFan Posted May 19, 2021 Report Share Posted May 19, 2021 Everyone knows it starts June 14th @ 4:53 A.M. SunFan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickS Posted June 1, 2021 Report Share Posted June 1, 2021 On 5/15/2021 at 1:43 PM, Mainecoons said: Yes folks, once again that great opportunity.... May 31 Rick June 1 Mainecoons June 7 Bisbee June 8 Whipstock June 11 Artsnob June 12 GoSolar June 13 Gringohombre, Cedros (at PM) June 14 Mostly Lost, dichosalocura, FlyFree, gogirl Well we can take me off the hit-parade list. And it will be a miracle if Mainecoons doesn't drop off at midnight also! Rick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mainecoons Posted June 1, 2021 Author Report Share Posted June 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, RickS said: Well we can take me off the hit-parade list. And it will be a miracle if Mainecoons doesn't drop off at midnight also! Rick Yup, won't be happening today either. Back in mid May the pattern shift necessary to kick off the rainy season sure looked like it was starting. False alarm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mostlylost Posted June 1, 2021 Report Share Posted June 1, 2021 Last night a lot of lightning between 4pm and 8pm south of mt. Garcia and northeast of Ocotlan and around Zamora . Very close to us. Can't see if it rained last night in those locations but Lagos de Moreno reported rain last night. Forecasts for al 3 areas are 95% possibility of rain after 5pm tonight. Who knows.... Also El Gigante Michoacán, on the rio Lerma, reported good rain last night which is good for the lake. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
traderspoc Posted June 1, 2021 Report Share Posted June 1, 2021 june 12 6pm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickS Posted June 1, 2021 Report Share Posted June 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, traderspoc said: june 12 6pm I think the gate has already closed..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoneyBee Posted June 1, 2021 Report Share Posted June 1, 2021 June 2 am Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickS Posted June 1, 2021 Report Share Posted June 1, 2021 June PM 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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